Frontier labs will pace AI by pouring more compute into alignment, says investor
Justin_Halford_ · x · 2026-09-15
Gavin Baker argues Anthropic and OpenAI will "pace" the frontier by spending more time and compute on alignment, monitoring, and evals. Justin Halford adds that labs choosing to pace will accept lower margins from extra compute spend, and that a larger compute fraction should go to monitoring, patching, and asymmetrically isolating models for beneficial use cases.
More from AGI Musings
- Long-read: AI's real value comes after the efficiency era—infra glut, agent tooling boom — yangyi · 2026-11-02
- Security's attack-defense automation gap mirrors math: proofs are easy, conjectures are hard — mboehme_ · 2026-11-02
- vikhyat predicts alternating compute oversupply and undersupply on the road to AGI — TheZachMueller · 2026-11-02
- Sam Altman: AI has surpassed top scientists, and 2026 will be a turning point year — kimmonismus · 2026-11-02
- DeepSeek design doc: a person can only follow 3-5 agent sessions at once, attention is the real bottleneck — heyshrutimishra · 2026-11-02
- AI researcher: we have no reliable way to tell whether an AI system is conscious — dioscuri · 2026-11-02