1GW of training ≈ 400-500k B300s, and frontier labs don't need 3,000 staff

eliebakouch · x · 2026-09-14

eliebakouch dissects a frontier-lab wishlist: Anthropic/OpenAI rent heavily, with Nebius-like EU players or Nvidia-backed firms as first-line compute suppliers. He estimates 1GW-year ≈ 400-500k B300 GPUs — likely more than Astra was trained on — suggests training/inference revenue-share deals with hyperscalers, and argues 3,000 staff is far more than needed to build a frontier lab.

Related event: Researcher Breaks Down Frontier Labs' Compute and Staffing Math(2 posts)→

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