New paper: cutting junior hiring in the AI era risks 'lost cohorts' and talent cycles
mattbeane · x · 2026-09-14
A new paper by Soumitra Shukla with Guido Friebel, Yao Huang, Jin Li and Andrew Zhang studies how AI reshapes internal labor markets.
Key finding: firms cutting junior hiring as AI arrives may weaken the pipeline that produces future seniors, creating "lost cohorts" of juniors and long-run cycles of talent shortage and glut.
Shared in a thread alongside Matt Beane's and David Autor's related work, arguing the concern about AI displacing entry-level human work is becoming concrete.
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