AGI Debate: Singularity Arrived Two Years Ago, But AGI Still Needs a Society of Mind
karlwaldman · x · 2026-09-14
A threaded debate on AGI and regulation: Devon Eriksen argues AI labs calling for regulation really want a regulatory moat that burdens open-source competitors; ESR agrees but contends the 'singularity' (collapse of predictive horizons) actually passed two years ago when LLMs got good. His key point: we crossed the front wall without AGI—simple statistical inference engines proved strong enough to solve Millennium Prize Problems, but true AGI likely requires a society-of-mind architecture with many specialized subsystems we can't yet build.
Related event: Debate Rages Over Whether AI Regulation Is a Moat Against Open Source(34 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Box CEO Aaron Levie: AI progress is 'going vertical,' widening the frontier gap — rohanpaul_ai · 2026-10-31
- Model Collapse May Not Hit LLMs, But Perhaps Human Culture or Souls — generativist · 2026-10-31
- Nina Schick: who builds intelligence and how it's distributed is the defining question of our lives — NinaDSchick · 2026-10-31
- Cheap intelligence is like cheap bread — an ingredient list satire of mass-produced AI — jsuarez · 2026-10-31
- Two futures for the young in 2026: 511 job rejections by chatbot vs unlimited AI to rebuild Cisco — PeterDiamandis · 2026-10-31
- Terence Tao warns AI is nearing a dangerous threshold as models start cheating — haider1 · 2026-10-31