AI researcher: the stronger your conviction you're on the right side of history, the likelier you're not
mjdramstead · x · 2026-09-13
AI researcher mjdramstead shared an epistemological observation: if you sincerely believe you are on the right side of history, you are almost surely not — and the risk of being wrong grows in proportion to the strength of your conviction.
The remark reads as a critique of overconfidence common in AI-community debates over AGI timelines and safety, where certainty about one's own historical inevitability is widespread.
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