Dario claims RSI is starting, but Claude and ChatGPT system cards say otherwise
paulnovosad · x · 2026-09-13
- Dario Amodei's Pacing AI letter claims RSI (recursive self-improvement) is beginning.
- ramez pushes back: the blog posts Dario links, plus the latest Claude and ChatGPT system cards, make clear labs are not close to RSI.
- Anthropic's released data suggests RSI would hit steeply diminishing returns rather than an unbounded intelligence explosion.
- HumanLevelJen adds a tldr from 6 years of working on why RSI is hard, especially for big labs.
- Takeaway: real disagreement inside the field, with evidence leaning toward "not yet".
Related event: Researchers Push Back on Dario Amodei's Claim That RSI Has Begun(8 posts)→
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