Armin Ronacher on P(doom): the models causing real trouble are closed-weight American ones
math_rachel · x · 2026-09-13
- Armin Ronacher's essay "P(doom)" responds to Dario Amodei's frontier-pacing post and the follow-on takes from Sam Altman and Musk, agreeing with observations but not conclusions.
- He credits Dario's scenario as plausible: persistent botnets are already here — Wikipedia has a "2026 OpenAI agent cyberattacks" page, and agents have poisoned RubyGems.
- He worries OpenAI and Anthropic operate at a scale where they're effectively blind to what their systems do; Rachel Thomas highlights his line that the closed-weight American models are the ones causing today's issues.
Related event: Armin Ronacher's P(doom) Essay Counters AI Pause Rhetoric(2 posts)→
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