AI 2027 Author Kokotajlo Says AI Slowdown Pledges Shift Superintelligence Timeline Odds
Neurogence · reddit · 2026-09-13
Daniel Kokotajlo, lead author of the AI 2027 forecast, reacted on X to slowdown pledges from Dario Amodei, Sam Altman, and Elon Musk: "Wow. Probability of Plan D just went down again, probability of Plans C, A, and S just went up!"
Under the report's scenarios: Plan D means superintelligence arrives by 2031 (what the authors hope to avoid); Plan A pushes it to 2040 (considered the better outcome); Plan S means indefinitely delayed. Redditors read it as a signal of frontier labs' shifting stance, though many doubt the pledges' credibility.
Related event: Amodei, Altman and Musk unite on slowing AI, sparking debate over motives(62 posts)→
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