Chess analogy against Magnus Carlsen used to defend p(doom) arguments
pwlot · x · 2026-09-13
Kevin Hur responds to extinction-risk skeptics with a chess analogy: no one can predict which move Magnus Carlsen will beat you with, yet everyone accepts he will win. The point, building on nattyover's question, is that "we can't name a concrete extinction scenario" and "we're not the superintelligent ones" are incompatible objections — you can't both claim the system is unpredictable and dismiss the odds being calculated on it. A crisp exchange in the ongoing p(doom) debate.
Related event: Chess Analogy Challenges AI Doom Arguments(2 posts)→
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