Even a 2029 ASI Ban Wouldn't Stop Trillions of Superintelligent Agents, Debater Argues
JOBhakdi · x · 2026-09-12
Responding to accelerationist David Shapiro, the author lays out a timing-window argument about ASI prohibition.
- Even if frontier ASI development becomes illegal in 2029 — the earliest realistic date — the ban would likely only constrain frontier training runs and deliberate recursive self-improvement
- By then, trillions of 200+ IQ agents would be ready to deploy, plus a path to effectively infinite inference compute via SpaceX
- Any realistic ASI prohibition at that point wouldn't prevent the battle for utopia or doom — it would only reshape the battlefield
- Context: Shapiro slammed restrictions as gatekeeping over being special, arguing AI progress shouldn't be shut down
Related event: ASI Bans Likely Inevitable but May Come Too Late to Contain Agents(2 posts)→
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