Socher on extinction risk claims: extraordinary claims need extraordinary evidence, not extrapolation

RichardSocher · x · 2026-09-12

Richard Socher commented on a conversation about the safety of recursive self-improving superintelligence, calling it important and timely. His core position: extraordinary claims about extinction probabilities require extraordinary evidence — not extrapolation plus handwaving about progress. He thanked interviewer @nxthompson for asking hard and interesting questions.

Related event: AI Safety Circles Clash Over Whether Doomers Can Tell a Concrete Extinction Story(10 posts)→

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