Polymarket puts 72% odds on an AI lab solving a Millennium Prize problem by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-12
Following the 25 Fields Medalists' warning letter, Polymarket's market on 'AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution' trades at 72% for end of 2026 ($71K volume), 89% by end of 2027. Qualifying problems include Riemann Hypothesis, P vs NP, Yang-Mills, Hodge and BSD conjectures; only full solutions announced by eligible labs count.
More from AGI Musings
- Synthetic Morphology Suggests Non-Physicalist Models of Mind Can Be Empirically Tested — ZeroStateReflex · 2026-09-12
- 25 Fields Medalists Sign Anti-AI Statement, but AI's Approval Drops Only from 19% to 18.9999927% — wordgrammer · 2026-09-12
- Demis Hassabis wins 2026 Albert Medal, joins RSA conversation on AI and creativity — minsuk_chang · 2026-09-12
- The Absurdity of AI Doom: A Model Too Dumb to Think Yet Smart Enough to End Humanity? — AIandDesign · 2026-09-12
- Security vet alarms at 'Don't Look Up' denial of AI agent hacking, sketches self-replicating worm — joshua_saxe · 2026-09-12
- Software stocks slide as markets start pricing in AI disruption from GPT-6 — VraserX · 2026-09-12