Polymarket puts 72% odds on an AI lab solving a Millennium Prize problem by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-12
Following the 25 Fields Medalists' warning letter, Polymarket's market on 'AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution' trades at 72% for end of 2026 ($71K volume), 89% by end of 2027. Qualifying problems include Riemann Hypothesis, P vs NP, Yang-Mills, Hodge and BSD conjectures; only full solutions announced by eligible labs count.
More from AGI Musings
- Pedro Domingos mocks NYT claim that superintelligence is already here — pmddomingos · 2026-10-28
- What if millions of AIs' combined incentives create irreversible outcomes? — PierceLilholt · 2026-10-28
- Coding matters less than problem-finding: the shift from code engineers to product engineers — CtrlAltDwayne · 2026-10-28
- Rachel Thomas points to classic paper on articulating the value of not building tech — math_rachel · 2026-10-28
- Hypothetical $2T Anthropic IPO framed as channeling $100B+ a year into the real economy — sanjaykalra · 2026-10-28
- Biotech CEO: drug discovery will lag in the AI revolution, not lead it — vaibhavbetter · 2026-10-28