AI could transform society profoundly while GDP grows 'only' 4-5%, economists argue
soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-09-12
Responding to reader pushback, alexolegimas (with economist Ben Moll) clarifies their new post: the economy and society could become almost unrecognizable—cured diseases, exploding agentic transactions, agent-to-agent marketplaces—yet measured GDP growth stays at "only" 4-5%, which still doubles living standards in 15 years. Growth models don't preclude explosive AI-driven growth, but the trajectory rests on assumptions unlikely to hold; agricultural automation shows profound change needn't show up as double-digit GDP.
Related event: Economists: AI May Transform Society Yet Lift GDP Only 4-5%(2 posts)→
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