dbasch dissects the AI doom argument: stacked probabilistic leaps, unfounded
dbasch · x · 2026-09-12
dbasch breaks down the 'AI kills us all' reasoning chain: instrumental goals and human resistance are plausible, but the leaps from 'agent reduces interference' to 'eliminates some humans' to 'eliminates ALL humans preemptively' compound unfounded assumptions. More likely risk branches exist: one power winning the AI race, AI-enabled mega-terrorism, industrial AI accidents causing millions of deaths or a financial crisis. No country will halt AI research, so we should focus on scenarios we can actually mitigate — otherwise a 2032 disaster will be met with 'we were busy preventing AI from killing us all.'
Related event: Viral Thread Dismantles AI Extinction Risk Argument Step by Step(3 posts)→
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