Ex-OpenAI researcher Kokotajlo: robot-built factories could double compute every 3 months
victor_explore · x · 2026-09-11
Former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo argues that once robots build the factories that build more robots and chip fabs, the compute industry's doubling cycle could shrink from a year to six months, then to three months. The commenter notes the math: quarterly doublings mean four doublings a year, and run for five years, even "moonshot" scenarios — like Anthropic taking the moon apart — stop sounding like jokes.
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