Ben Todd: Many researchers put AI existential risk at 30%-70%, well above 10%
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-09-11
Ben Todd (80000 Hours) notes that people have anchored on a 10% figure for existential risk from AI, while many serious researchers commonly cite 30%, 50%, or even 70%. His point: no one really knows, but that doesn't make the risk low — it means it could plausibly land anywhere from 0% to 100%.
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