"10% chance AI kills everyone" is nonsense, argues exit-risk skeptic: more like a meteor strike
DeryaTR_ · x · 2026-09-11
Pushing back on AI doomerism, DeryaTR argues the "10% chance AI kills all humans" claim is total nonsense, walking through why:
- The only extinction-level scenario would be a superintelligence directing a meteor or global thermonuclear release at Earth — but it would destroy itself too, which is suicide, not strategy.
- Biological weapons cannot kill all humans, only a portion — "biology is not like in the movies."
- Any other scenario can do serious harm, but true extinction is roughly as likely as a meteor hitting us.
- Doomer scenarios also assume one omnipotent super AI with no counterbalancing AI on the human side.
He grants that AI security matters and needs work, but says those making extinction claims are either unserious, pushing an agenda, or delusional.
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