AGI Portfolio Update: 16.8% Return in 7 Months, Beating SPY by 4.4 Points

avilacjf · reddit · 2026-09-11

Seven months after proposing an AGI-themed portfolio premised on AI matching humans in most economically valuable work by 2026, the author reports a 16.8% return vs SPY's 12.4% and QQQ's 19.6%. Key claims: Anthropic reportedly near positive adjusted operating income with SemiAnalysis projecting Q3 profit, OpenAI Codex/ChatGPT Work usage surging, and a new model reportedly proving Navier-Stokes in Lean. The author remains bullish on the datacenter buildout but flags land and powered-shell access plus local opposition as bottlenecks pressuring Nvidia and semis, and plans to hold through volatility.

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