Bayesian ideology debate: is quantifying uncertainty a virtue when any number is arbitrary?
RexDouglass · x · 2026-09-11
Itai Sher argues that Bayesian 'ideology' overrates quantifying uncertainty: sometimes there is no basis for picking one number over another, so the numbers given are arbitrary. Rex Douglass replies that formally representing what you don't know is precisely one of the main benefits of the Bayesian approach.
Related event: Debate over 'Bayesian Ideology': Quantifying Uncertainty May Be Arbitrary(2 posts)→
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