Researcher Pushes Back on OpenAI Employee's 70% Extinction Claim, Still Sees >10% Risk
peterwildeford · x · 2026-09-11
Longview Philanthropy researcher Peter Wildeford responded to a claim that an OpenAI employee puts 70% odds on human extinction within three years without regulating or pacing frontier AI: he thinks 70% is an overestimate but the number is non-trivial — "probably greater than 10%, which is scary."
The original post noted such pessimistic views are reportedly common among engineers building frontier AI across major labs. The debate centers on how large insiders' existential risk estimates really are.
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