OpenAI Employee Puts 70% Odds on Human Extinction Within 3 Years Without AI Regulation

peterwildeford · x · 2026-09-11

Peter Wildeford cites an OpenAI employee saying that unless there is AI regulation or a coordinated slowdown between labs, human extinction in the next few years seems very likely — estimating 70% probability within three years.

Wildeford adds this is a very common view among engineers building frontier AI across all major AI labs, not an isolated fringe position. Note this is a personal estimate with no technical argument attached.

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