Jack Clark proposes pre-registering AI economy forecasts to score predictors in a year
jackclarkSF · x · 2026-09-10
Jack Clark proposes pre-registering AI economic-impact forecasts: communities align predictions with different scenarios now, then a year later cross-walk actual economic outcomes against those scenarios to see who predicts better. He hopes this also implicitly surfaces the 'weighting' of parameters — some are more predictive of the future — building a dataset that helps future forecasting.
Related event: Anthropic Rolls Out AI Scenario Tools and Economic Policy Framework(8 posts)→
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