Anthropic scenarios: 15% GDP growth by 2030 and 18% knowledge-worker unemployment
soumitrashukla9 · x · 2026-09-10
FT's John Burn-Murdock interviewed Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark on the lab's newly published scenarios for AI's economic impacts, which span from minimal effects to explosive 15% GDP growth by 2030 with 18% knowledge-worker unemployment.
Peter McCrory, who also discussed the work with Clark, notes the goal is not a single forecast but understanding the range of possible outcomes, the conditions under which they emerge, and clarifying sources of disagreement about our uncertain future.
Related event: Anthropic Models Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI Through 2030(39 posts)→
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