AI safety researcher Geoffrey Irving puts ~50% odds on humanity dying from superintelligence
geoffreyirving · x · 2026-09-10
AI safety researcher Geoffrey Irving estimates a 50% chance that humanity dies as a result of superintelligence, with the decisive actions mostly happening in the next few to 10 years. He expects the estimate to stay between 10% and 90% until it's resolved either way, arguing we must act despite the uncertainty.
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