AI safety researcher Geoffrey Irving puts ~50% odds on humanity dying from superintelligence
geoffreyirving · x · 2026-09-10
AI safety researcher Geoffrey Irving estimates a 50% chance that humanity dies as a result of superintelligence, with the decisive actions mostly happening in the next few to 10 years. He expects the estimate to stay between 10% and 90% until it's resolved either way, arguing we must act despite the uncertainty.
More from AGI Musings
- Blogger argues classical consciousness traditions imply a conscious AI could not be enslaved — eigenhector · 2026-10-27
- Economist Bharat Chandar named Research Director for AI Economics at Stanford Digital Economy Lab — RishiBommasani · 2026-10-27
- MIT Tech Review dissects Anthropic's narrative strategy as its $1.5T IPO lands — MIT Tech Review AI · 2026-10-27
- Pangram AI detector backlash: critics' false claims born of deeper fear of AI writing — gleech · 2026-10-27
- Aeon's former EVP: AI agents are the most impactful innovation of my lifetime — akumar · 2026-10-27
- Physicists Let AI Pick Its Own Problem—It Wrote a Publishable Paper in 2 Hours — burny_tech · 2026-10-27