Ben Todd: AI hit 94% on FrontierMath, far outpacing even his bullish 32%-by-2026 forecast
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-09-10
- Ben Todd (80,000 Hours founder) reflects that nearly everyone, including himself, underestimated AI progress: his Aug 2025 forecast had FrontierMath at 32% by end of 2026 and 97% by 2030; reality was 40% by end of 2025 and 94% today.
Related event: Ben Todd's Forecast Review: Everyone Is Underestimating AI Progress(6 posts)→
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