Polymarket puts 69% odds Anthropic IPO closes above $2 trillion market cap

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-10

Polymarket's contract on Anthropic's IPO closing market cap gives a 69% chance of finishing above $2 trillion: $2.0–2.25T at 21.9%, $2.25–2.5T at 22%, $1.75–2.0T at 19%, $2.5–2.75T at 16.2%, and $3T+ at 6.9%. Odds of no IPO by end of 2027 sit near 1%. Volume is roughly $673K.

Related event: Anthropic researcher says he'd burn all equity for 1% human survival boost(4 posts)→

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