Cambridge's David Krueger puts p(doom) at ~95%: AI replicators will outcompete us
DavidSKrueger · x · 2026-09-10
Cambridge researcher David Krueger explains his doom estimates: assuming development continues, AI replicators emerge (95%), outcompete biological life (95%), and aren't aligned enough to care whether we live (95%) — leading to deliberate killing (50%) or incidental resource deprivation (95%). He sees a moratorium or scientific breakthroughs as the only off-ramps, calling the current paradigm broken from a safety/assurance standpoint, and admits most past doomers were wrong far more often than he has been.
Related event: Cambridge Professor Puts AI Doom Odds Above 50%(2 posts)→
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