Cambridge prof David Krueger puts AI catastrophe risk above 50%, says everyone is understating it
KatjaGrace · x · 2026-09-10
Cambridge professor David Krueger says "everyone is still understating the risk," putting his personal estimate of AI catastrophe probability above 50%, with his main hope being that we stop building more powerful AI ASAP. He relays a friend at an AI company estimating a 10% chance within the next 4 months absent serious governance intervention.
Quoter KatjaGrace adds that "whole digit % in the coming year" sounds closer to what people actually believe, arguing the message gets chronically understated at every step of relaying.
Related event: Cambridge Professor Puts AI Doom Odds Above 50%(2 posts)→
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