Judea Pearl resurfaces his obscure 1978 paper on model complexity and credibility

yudapearl · x · 2026-09-10

Turing Award laureate Judea Pearl notes that several speakers at his Sunday Symposium, including keynote speaker Thomas Dietterich, favorably cited his 1978 paper "On the connection between the complexity and credibility of inferred models." The paper tackles profound questions in scientific methodology about how the complexity of inferred models relates to their credibility. Because it was originally published in an obscure outlet, Pearl is reposting the paper for easier access.

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