Modeling LLMs as holding latent beliefs yields high-accuracy behavior predictions
brwilder · x · 2026-09-10
Follow-up on the new paper: across several settings, treating LLMs as holding a latent degree of belief about an unknown state allows high-accuracy predictions of behavior, with accuracy rising sharply as general capability increases. Directly relevant to the recent anthropomorphization debate.
Related event: Paper: LLMs' latent beliefs can predict their behavior(2 posts)→
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