Debate: ASI could arrive in 3-10 years, leaving little time to adapt

ronbodkin · x · 2026-09-10

ronbodkin and MikePFrank debated ASI risk. ronbodkin pins their disagreement on timelines: he thinks ASI could arrive within 3-10 years, and a slower path would give humanity more room to learn and respond.

On the analogy that corporations are already superintelligent economic entities disempowering individuals, he argues companies are still composed of and reliant on people — offering more leverage and control — and had time to evolve, unlike a rapidly emerging ASI.

Related event: Frank and Bodkin Clash Over ASI Timelines and the Global Coordination Deadlock(10 posts)→

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