Study: mutual in-context learning between AIs amplifies noise and accelerates collective belief collapse

Hidenori8Tanaka · x · 2026-09-09

Hidenori Tanaka presents a thread on the team's Quantized Simplex Gossip (QSG) model, which represents AI output as sampling symbols from internal belief distributions, with persona plasticity α controlling the listener's adaptation.

Key mechanism: shorter messages contain fewer sampled symbols, giving a noisier picture of the speaker's beliefs. The theory predicts that mutual in-context learning among AIs can amplify these fluctuations and accelerate collective belief collapse — a theoretical framework for information degradation in multi-agent communication.

Related event: Hidenori Tanaka's team explains AI agent collective belief collapse via "agent physics"(6 posts)→

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