Exponential revenue growth tells us nothing about AI capabilities, argues binarybits
binarybits · x · 2026-09-09
In a debate, binarybits argues that exponentially increasing AI revenue reveals nothing interesting about AI capabilities: almost every successful technology has a steep, exponential-looking growth phase. Rapid revenue can simply reflect word-of-mouth adoption or falling costs from economies of scale rather than improving capability.
More from AGI Musings
- Abacus.AI CEO Bindu Reddy mocks AI doom rhetoric: "10% chance we kill everyone" — bindureddy · 2026-09-09
- AI copyright debate slammed for double standards: artists vs. stolen math proofs — mgill25 · 2026-09-09
- Fei-Fei Li: R&D is forking into token-abundant and token-starved paths — zhaoran_wang · 2026-09-09
- Richard Socher's new book argues recursive self-improvement will usher in prosperity — RichardSocher · 2026-09-09
- Debating Taylor Lorenz: underreaction to extinction risk is scarier than overregulation — austinc3301 · 2026-09-09
- Martin Ford discusses AI's economic impact and new edition of "Rise of the Robots" on GAEA Talks — MFordFuture · 2026-09-09