Anthropic models AI's 2030 impact on jobs, wages, and growth in interactive scenario explorer
AnthropicAI · x · 2026-09-09
Anthropic's Economics team released a technical report, Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI (Korinek et al.), plus an interactive explorer where users plug in predictions for AI capability and adoption to see what the US economy might look like by 2030.
- In scenarios from business-as-usual to AI roughly doubling growth, unemployment stays within historical ranges and wages remain flat or rise depending on industry.
- In faster-than-anything-in-history growth scenarios, knowledge workers face adverse wage and job prospects; the challenge shifts to broadly sharing society's gains.
- Users can compare their predictions against over 10,000 Americans.
The work complements Anthropic's Economic Index (measuring current AI usage) by looking ahead, aiming to inform how to make the AI transition broadly beneficial.
Related event: Anthropic Models Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI Through 2030(39 posts)→
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