Polymarket puts only 9% odds on a US AI safety bill before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-09
Polymarket gives a 9% chance ($102K volume) that the US enacts an AI safety bill before the end of 2026. Resolving "Yes" requires a federal law with at least one of: bans on creating/releasing specific models, training restrictions, usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop mandates. Bipartisan proposals like the FRONTIER Act have advanced through committees but none are clearly on track.
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