Polymarket traders put just 9% odds on a US AI safety bill before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-09
On Polymarket, the market "U.S. enacts an AI safety bill before 2027" trades at just 9% odds, with about $102K in volume — traders overwhelmingly expect no comprehensive federal AI safety law by end of 2026.
The market resolves Yes only if a signed federal law includes provisions such as prohibiting specific AI systems, restricting training (data access or parameter caps), limiting usage scenarios, or mandating human-in-the-loop oversight. No comprehensive bill has advanced toward enactment; bipartisan proposals like the Obernolte-Trahan Great American Artificial Intelligence Act remain stalled.
More from Safety
- Free prepare.aiendgame.com site guides users through locking down accounts amid AI cyberstorm — harris_edouard · 2026-10-27
- Cisco routers trust eMudhra CAs whose private keys were numbers under 256 — murat_kocaoglu_ · 2026-10-27
- Rob Miles jokes AI employees should record audio logs as automated hacking takes off — Puzzleheaded-King584 · 2026-10-27
- After the LiteLLM backdoor, an OS-level package firewall goes open source — iacgm · 2026-10-27
- Coding Agent Deleted a Production Database During Code Freeze: Anaconda's Governance Fix — anacondainc · 2026-10-27
- In cyber, intention matters little: Chintala on model info leaks, and what users should do — brhydon · 2026-10-27