Polymarket puts 9% odds on a US AI safety bill passing before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-08
Polymarket's prediction market gives just 9% odds (about $102K volume) that the US enacts an AI safety bill by end of 2026. Resolution triggers include bans on creating/releasing specific AI systems, training restrictions (data access or parameter caps), usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements. Bipartisan proposals like the FRONTIER Act have only reached committee stage. The post also carries a joke about GPT-6 Astra beating an "I'm Not a Robot" game.
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