The 'jagged AGI' debate: AI underwhelms at research but autonomy is arriving fast

_akpiper · x · 2026-09-07

In a discussion with Ethan Mollick, the poster says they've come around to the 'jagged AGI' view — AI outperforms humans in many areas yet still underwhelms at research tasks, and the steep progress curve forces the assumption of high autonomy in the near future, which they find unsettling. Mollick's original point: whether that counts as AGI depends on the definition, as beating human experts at most tasks hasn't happened yet.

Related event: Mollick on 'Jagged AGI': Superhuman in Some Areas, Not All(2 posts)→

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