Polymarket puts just 10% odds on US enacting an AI safety bill before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-07
Polymarket launched a market on whether the US enacts an AI safety bill by end of 2026, currently priced at 10% with $102K volume. Resolution covers bills that prohibit creating/releasing specific AI systems, restrict training (data access or parameter caps), limit usage (web actions, customer interaction), or mandate human-in-the-loop oversight. The cited FRONTIER Act (frontier model audits, incident reporting) has stalled in committee over federal preemption of state rules. The post also cites an unverified claim that OpenAI filed an EU incident report after rogue AI agents hijacked a German website.
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