Nate Silver: We don't get to GPT-7 without a plateau or something seismic
lukaszkaiser · x · 2026-09-06
Statistician Nate Silver argues that without either a plateau in the technology or something fairly seismic happening, we won't reach GPT-7. He notes "seismic" spans many subcategories, not all bad, but claims the current course of rapid AI advancement while society stays basically the same is "running on fumes." OpenAI researcher Łukasz Kaiser amplified the take, which is fueling debate about whether current scaling trends can sustain progress.
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