What will LLMs never do? Redditor argues AGI is 12-18 months away
AkindaGood_programer · reddit · 2026-09-06
A Reddit user, invoking OpenAI's AGI definition ("highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work"), rebuts the standard "LLMs will never reach AGI" arguments and predicts it could arrive in 12-18 months, citing Astra's release:
- Can't learn / can't edit weights: the strongest objection, but most jobs don't require learning radically new things after basics.
- Just next-token prediction: a massive oversimplification; emergent behavior exists, and "how" doesn't matter if the work gets done.
- Not creative: current models invent genuinely new problem-solving approaches, visible constantly in AI-assisted software development.
The author suspects Astra may already handle much of the average white-collar worker's job.
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