169 ECI Score Would Imply a ~30-Hour Task Horizon for Astra
haider1 · x · 2026-09-06
The author estimates that Astra's reported 169 ECI score would translate to roughly a 30-hour task horizon — about a 50% success rate on tasks that take a human expert 30 hours. He cautions that METR has not actually evaluated Astra yet; this is an extrapolation from the score, not a measured result.
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