Morgan Stanley leads Anthropic IPO lead-bank odds at 72% on Polymarket

Polymarket · x · 2026-09-05

Polymarket's market on which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO now gives Morgan Stanley a 72-73% implied chance, overtaking Goldman Sachs at 31%, with JPMorgan below 1%. Total volume is around $55K, and the market resolves on the designated lead underwriter if an IPO completes before December 31, 2027 — signaling market expectations that Anthropic is moving toward going public.

Related event: Anthropic Speeds Toward IPO: Filing Expected as Soon as Next Week at Up to $2 Trillion Valuation(8 posts)→

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