Tyler Cowen: pessimistic AI scenarios come with warning steps, so betting is easy
tylercowen · x · 2026-09-05
Tyler Cowen rebuts Dean Ball's claim that doom scenarios void bets: most pessimistic scenarios include warning steps rather than sudden obliteration — he cites Hugging Face as exactly such an intermediate signal that's easy to invest on — and in many negative outcomes the world doesn't end, major costs accrue but bets still pay off. So betting on net output destruction is not difficult.
Related event: Cowen vs. Ball: Why Aren't AI Pessimists Putting Their Money Down(6 posts)→
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