Dean Ball: in scenarios where AI destroys output, the bets themselves may not pay off
deanwball · x · 2026-09-05
Responding to Tyler Cowen's accusation that he won't bet on AI destroying net output, Dean Ball argues that in scenarios where AI truly destroys output, he's unsure he could redeem the bets at all — or that it would matter — so operationalizing such bets is unproductive.
Related event: Cowen vs. Ball: Why Aren't AI Pessimists Putting Their Money Down(6 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Three reasons AI is not conscious and may never be, per Nature essay — anilkseth · 2026-10-21
- Everything in AI is downstream of a global status graph, says founder — gabriel1 · 2026-10-21
- Attention decays fast: breakout moments must recur every 6-12 months — gabriel1 · 2026-10-21
- Mathematician Daniel Litt concedes his AI bet, but says AI won't solve math — ziv_ravid · 2026-10-21
- AI SaaS monetization is cooked: consumers small, enterprises pay $20/month — menhguin · 2026-10-21
- Tim Dettmers: Academia is about to have a renaissance — the best AI work of the next decade happens in university labs — StasBekman · 2026-10-21