Chollet: Astra Saturated ARC-AGI-3 Twice as Fast as I Predicted

fchollet · x · 2026-09-04

François Chollet said that at ARC 3's release he predicted a frontier model would saturate it in about a year; six months later, the progress Astra represents arrived about 2x faster. He expects the pace to surprise many and new models to challenge views formed on prior generations. The team is already developing ARC-AGI-4, stressing that benchmarking co-evolves with models.

Related event: Chollet Says ARC-AGI-4 Arrives in Early 2027, Benchmark Saturation Is Not AGI(4 posts)→

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