18 Months Later: Revisiting the 'History of the Future' AGI Scenario — Google Bearishness Aged Well, Timelines Ran Fast
herbiebradley · x · 2026-09-04
Roughly 18 months after LRudL published his detailed AGI scenario 'History of the Future', herbiebradley reread parts 2 and 3 and offered messy takes on how it aged.
- Overall he'd place it around the 80th percentile in speed for his own expectations, presumably slower for the original author.
- The bearishness on Google — "lives off vast rents", "lumbers aimlessly on" — is judged a good call.
- Timelines for the first drop-in agents look somewhat fast.
The review is explicitly a subjective, partial retrospective; the original scenario is linked in the post.
Related event: Revisiting 'History of the Future' AGI Predictions 18 Months Later(2 posts)→
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