Polymarket puts just 11% odds on US enacting an AI safety bill before 2027
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-04
Polymarket's market on whether the US enacts an AI safety bill before 2027 trades at just 11%, with $102K in volume.
The market resolves Yes if a signed federal law includes any of: prohibitions on creating/releasing specific AI systems, training restrictions (data access or parameter caps), usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements. Context: Bernie Sanders unveiled the "Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act," which would outlaw AI systems matching or exceeding human capabilities, with penalties up to 20 years in prison. Federal AI safety legislation has stalled amid disputes over state-law preemption, oversight scope, and industry innovation concerns.
Related event: Polymarket prices just 11% chance of US AI safety law before 2027(3 posts)→
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