Polymarket launches a ChatGPT outage betting market with Sept 30 odds at 94¢
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-03
Polymarket has launched a new prediction market betting on whether ChatGPT suffers a Partial/Full Outage, resolved via OpenAI's official status page. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' count; API-, Codex-, FedRamp- or Ads-only incidents don't. Odds already sit at 94¢ for an outage by Sept 30 (49¢ by Sept 15), suggesting the market considers another ChatGPT outage near-certain.
Related event: Polymarket Markets Bet on ChatGPT Outages as Downtime Persists(3 posts)→
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