Zeiss says China is still ~15 years from EUV lithography; skeptics doubt supplier's word

basedjensen · x · 2026-09-03

According to Bloomberg, Zeiss — a key ASML supplier — claims China remains about 15 years away from building the extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines required to produce the most advanced chips. Commenters were skeptical, noting that blindly trusting a single-sourced supplier's claims has historically gone badly, implying the timeline may be optimistic or self-serving.

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